What happens in markets when the ISM Manufacturing index drops below 50 over the next quarter? We have looked across all assets with interesting findings.
“The global economy was facing the worst collapse since the second world war as coronavirus began to strike in March, well before the height of the crisis, according to the latest Brookings-FT tracking index. “The index comes as the IMF prepares to hold virtual spring meetings this week, when it will release forecasts showing the deepest contraction for the global economy since the 1930s great depression. FT.comhttps://archive.ph/UUfl2
thx Andreas for your phantastic work and transparent investment agenda. When we look to German equities and the grim medium term outlook of the EU lokomotive, have you also considered to short Dax with its sclerosis of its automotive and industrial backbone and the highly overpriced vulnerable Tec Dax..in this inflation driven environment, high input costs, paradigm shift of Green Deal, alongside the recession narrative?
Waiting for ISM to fall to the 40-44 range where historically valuations trough. Let's see if we get there, might have to scale in before to not lose my entry.
Great newsletter. Some wonderful charts, ty!
Great stuff!
Did you implement the long short consumer staple vs discretionary trade with XLP and XLY or is there a better way?
Was wondering bc you mentionded the tickers for the other trades, but not this one.
Thx for the sector vs inflation correlation chart! (First time I've seen this one, which is strange given the circumstances.)
What happens in markets when the ISM Manufacturing index drops below 50 over the next quarter? yes I think ,, short Nikkei 225''.
“The global economy was facing the worst collapse since the second world war as coronavirus began to strike in March, well before the height of the crisis, according to the latest Brookings-FT tracking index. “The index comes as the IMF prepares to hold virtual spring meetings this week, when it will release forecasts showing the deepest contraction for the global economy since the 1930s great depression. FT.com https://archive.ph/UUfl2
Collapse Imminent: https://thephilosophicalsalon.com/a-self-fulfilling-prophecy-systemic-collapse-and-pandemic-simulation/
The Illusion of Stability, the Inevitability of Collapse http://charleshughsmith.blogspot.com/2021/09/the-illusion-of-stability-inevitability.html
Fed is sharply increasing the amount of help it is providing to the financial system https://www.cnbc.com/2019/10/23/fed-repo-overnight-operations-level-to-increase-to-120-billion.html Banks did not trust each other - similar situation when Lehman collapsed
A SELF-FULFILLING PROPHECY: SYSTEMIC COLLAPSE AND PANDEMIC SIMULATION https://thephilosophicalsalon.com/a-self-fulfilling-prophecy-systemic-collapse-and-pandemic-simulation/
And then covid hit... hmmmm....
thx Andreas for your phantastic work and transparent investment agenda. When we look to German equities and the grim medium term outlook of the EU lokomotive, have you also considered to short Dax with its sclerosis of its automotive and industrial backbone and the highly overpriced vulnerable Tec Dax..in this inflation driven environment, high input costs, paradigm shift of Green Deal, alongside the recession narrative?
Excellent analysis. I enjoyed this.
Waiting for ISM to fall to the 40-44 range where historically valuations trough. Let's see if we get there, might have to scale in before to not lose my entry.
Excellent analysis. Thanks.
Andreas, is there an equivalent to SALL? I can't buy. Thanks for your great service